Hello guys today we will talk about fixing tipper and reality.
Fixing :
Those days many people talk
about match fixing and say every match get fix.
In real its have totally different scenario about which they have no
idea. People say match was fixed in the
favor of team A or team B. It is not as
simple as they think. Fixed a match is a
quite tough thing. Just try to
understand, to fix a match about 6 player of a team should be trapped. Is it possible? That’s we can see in the Hansie Cronje case, as he tell
in his statement that he try to fix match but some time trap player forget the
strategy and match could not get fixed.
So question here is if match not
get fixed than what happened? As we
study about 1000 matches, we found some patterns which give some slight idea
about this, we are not saying about any fixing.
We are saying about only those patterns.
Surprise change in
behavior –
We saw in many matches’ data
that player at once behave very strange manner.
Example –
1.
Team A doing batting
very good run rate, score 7 over 45 /0 and after that they got very slow and
next 3 over put only 6 or 8 run on board as they not loss any more wicket.
2. Team A in bad
position, score in 7 over is 24/3 and after that very fast and put 24 runs in
next 3 over as they lose 1 more wicket.
Above
example for virtual bet sessions.
Conclusion
- I’m not saying fixing happened, but if it happened according to me they got
fixed strategy-
Example
–
1.
Fixer deal with teams must
be like this – In first 10 over, first 7 over you play as you want but in next
3 over put less than 12 or any maximum specific run on board.
2. Fixer deal with teams
must be like this – In first 10 over, first 7 over you play as you want but in
next 3 over put more than 24 runs or any minimum specific run on board.
If match get fixed it, should
be like this –
Example –
T20 match, if team A fix the
match fixer must say to that, team B make small score than you play with high
run rate as nobody get the chance to cut the bet. Team B make high score play normal in start
and last try to win.
For above those theories I have
specific reason –
1.
Previous data show those
patterns in study.
2. If we think deeply so
we will find that how much amount need to fix match that’s could be provide by
a group not individual. If we say group
may then that group must have the resources to earn back that investment. So comes in the picture our operator, because
he has resources to earn back investment and a sufficient fund to invest.
So if anyone thinks that any
individual can just fix the match that’s chance only 0001%.
So, keep in the mind if fixing
event gets occurred, maximum chance to give benefit to you operator, Because he
have the network to just double or triple own investment.
Tipper:
Those days many individual and
group providing Tipping services on cricket matches. Those are two types in the
Market-
1.
Work On Data Base
2. Work on Information Base
First we take Data Base. Data
base tipper we should called Predictor. They work on previous data, current conditions
and Teams current performance, after that they predict. There accuracy depends
on how they are using data or they could trace any pattern which probity is
good to predict.
Now we talk about information base,
many guys those days say that as they
have perfect information who win, all match get fixed, even till toss too.
Here I just ask some simple
question-
1.
Who have money to invest
fix a match?
2. Who have network & Resources to get double & triple fixing
investment?
Answer for all is operator. So
why he will ruin own business to provide fixing information in market, even he
also not provide own associate.
To understand this we have to
go little deep. What the fixed income of our operator & what really he is
doing?
Operator fixed income is match
line which rent per month he collect.
Maximum number of line, maximum earning for him. How will increase the
number of line? When people whose get
line and earning good by that. If operator associate will earn then his brand loyalty
will develop, more people will be associate with him and who associate with him
never think to leave him.
Above also reason that’s show
operator have maximum chance and need to fix any match.
So, guys now I ask you first
operator will invest for fixing then give that report in market to kill his basic
business.
Now question is that then what
do information base tipper?
They also do same as predictor
just work on data, chose best which look to him and make report. In market they
say that all match fixed and they have report just buy it. They work in chain,
even in that chain many associate also do not know it is data base report they
think report coming from fixing resource.
Except of that some smarter
Tipper also in market, they work on following pattern-
1.
Favorite- Just checks it
out who is favorite before match on any site; just make report in his favor and
sale.
2. Probability Base- Simple game any team winning probability is
50%. Just give half client to team A win & other Half to team B win. At
least 50% client will be satisfied and will fetch more clients for you.
Many other patterns there, but
those above are most popular.
Reality:
Guys I try to explain everything
to you. If we talk about reality, split fixing could be but it never sale in
open market. Match Prediction possible depend on person caliber that is doing.
So, guys for today its only,
our next post we talk about virtual bet winning strategy. Till then thanking you and bye.
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our motivation.